The 50K Pylon is another contest that I wanted to enter to… win of course... But also to evaluate the differences in the ladder system that is DFS tournaments. You have your small 100 entries tournaments, your 1000 entries tournaments, your massive tournaments like the MIlli Maker and Play Action that can have as many as 600,000 entries, and then you have contests like the Pylon that have about 20,000 entries. Understanding how to attack each tournament differently is critical for constructing lineups so we aren’t just blindly throwing darts.
Let’s take a look at the $50K Pylon that saw 19,817 entries in week 5:
Stacking
QB + WR
Herbert - 45.82
Allen - 13.50
Total - 59.32
Avg Per Player - 29.66
The surest sign of a wild week in DFS is winning stacks being all over the place. There were few parallels in stacks that took down the big tournaments - probably because the chalky one offs hit so you could stack a lot of different ways to get there. Furthermore, you have a QB + WR stack being in the winning lineup of 19,000+ entries and it wasn’t even the best stacking option on the Los Angeles side of that game. (Williams or Ekeler)
TE + DEF + Opposing WR
Schultz - 13.90
Dal DST - 11
Toney - 32.60
Total - 57.50
Avg Per Player - 19.16
Stacking a Tight end with the Defense and bringing it back with another WR is not a common stack but it worked here. I’d say it goes to show that it’s okay to be unorthodox in your stacks if you pick the right players. On paper, these were the weakest plays from a ceiling outlook, so almost averaging 20 points with these 3 sets this lineup in great shape with the 6 remaining players.
2 different 3 player stacks here combined for 116.82 points, a 19.47 average per position. From a fantasy points per dollar perspective, this isn’t the best stacking we saw from tournament winners in week 5 but the one offs certainly nailed it.
Roster %
Herbert - 3.3%
Henry - 36.93%
Mattison - 37.11%
Allen - 8.2%
Brown - 13.41%
Chase 16.26%
Schultz - 20.49%
Toney - 13.19%
Cowboys - 9.05%
Total: 157.94%
It should come as no surprise that when cash lineups are seeing total roster % of over 200%, small field tournaments are seeing winning lineups with 185%, and the Milli Maker winner’s total roster % was 115%, that a tournament of 19,000 will have a roster % that will fall somewhere between small tournament and large GPP roster percentages. The bigger the tournament, the more unique your lineup must be to differentiate yourself from the field.
This doesn’t mean getting stupid with your lineup, this means getting different but paying the most attention to roster % and ceiling. If you have a lineup that is low on projected roster % but has a projected ceiling max of 200, your best chance is hitting the cash line but you have no chance of winning that tournament with 19,000 entries. Knowing your goals is important.
Pricing
$9000 Henry - 3.7X
$6800 Herbert - 6.73X
$6500 Allen - 2.07X
$5800 Chase - 5.32X
$5500 Mattison - 5.50X
$5200 Antonio Brown - 6.61X
$4400 Schultz - 3.15X
$4000 Toney - 8.15X
$2800 Dal DST - 3.92X
Total - $50,000 = 5X
Unlike a lot of lineups that we saw with both Henry/Adams crammed in, this lineup found value at WR after plugging Henry in; especially with Brown and Toney at $5200 and $4000, respectively. They averaged 7.3X their salary for a combined total of 67 points. 5X was just shy of the Milli Maker winning lineup at 5.25X so you know you’ve hit it out of the park in a tournament with 180,000 less entries.
Historical Ceiling
Herbert: 45+
Henry: 50
Mattison: 20-30
Allen: 40-45
Brown: 35+
Chase: 20-30+
Schultz: 20-30
Toney: 30+ (small sample size)
Cowboys: 15-20
Without the ceiling to produce 240+ to win a tournament of 19,000+ entries, nothing else matters in your lineup construction. Fortunately for Shannonkemp, there were some big hitters in this lineup that brought it home. Herbert, Henry, Allen, Brown are your core players and Mattison, Chase, Schultz, and Toney can produce high enough within their range of outcomes to bring it home. Even when one of your core players like Allen doesn’t have a big week, and you still put up 246 points, you know you were on the right construction.
This lineup showed that you can still bink a tournament without the perfect stacks and one offs in your lineup.
Subscribe to the Fantasy Fling Podcast so you never miss a review and preview of the DFS Main Slate!
留言